Polymarket live dashboard

is there a polymarket bet if there’s another mass casualty on US soil?

Ohio..Austin..DC…?

This is all true but I’d argue it’s also to do with the fact that the right has been one big grift designed to part Americans with their money for decades.

Soft power is far more influential than hard power. But it doesn’t make as much money in the immediate term.

Much harder to insider trade, win Polymarket bets and gift hundreds of millions or billions to yourself and your friends if you have to rely on soft power.

I'll do you one further.

Capitalism's critical flaw is that its end-stage is just plunder.

As an industrialized capitalist economy is evolving and maturing - which happened during the Boomers and Gen X's peak years - you get this incredible boom where skill is rewarded because learning how to be faster or more efficient than other people is how commerce evolves. People begin investing in talent and technology, and things develop more and more as those investments pay off.

Unfortunately, we exist in physical reality where there is a hard ceiling on these thing. You eventually reach a point where you cannot be any better. The constraints of physical reality mean your good is as optimized as it possibly can be. There might be a tiny bit of fat to trim, but you're probably going to spend 10% more for a 1% improvement, so there's no value in refinement. But you still need to return growth to investors. The only way is to begin dismantling what you built. You start compromising with cheaper processes and materials, you charge more just because, you begin mortgaging your future with stock buybacks. Being good at something is no longer more valuable than being aggressive at scamming people.

Once you hit end-stage capitalism - which happened as the Millenials entered the job market and was in full swing by the time the Zoomers started going to university - you've pivoted to an economy that doesn't care about talent or skill, and exclusively rewards scams. Because all the established players have cornered the market on everything under the sun and refined it to the point there's nothing left to do, the only way to be more profit efficient than them is straight up plunder.

Zoomers were released into an economy where crypto/NFT scams were more profitable than anything else, where every third ad is for sports betting, and where the rise of Kalshi and Polymarket have taught them insider trading on prediction markets is more rewarding than a real job... especially since those real jobs have a good chance of being laid off by AI because the C-suite needs to goose the stock price for end-of-quarter before hiring everyone back next year for 80% of what they were previously offered.

When you look at the socioeconomic context these people experienced when they were 25, Boomers and Gen X experienced a world in which earnestly doing your best was rewarded, and Millenials and Zoomers experienced a world in which learning how to rip the copper wire out of the walls while blaming someone else was rewarded. It's hard not to view the world in zero-sum terms when the biggest industries are literally just taking people's money through theft and scams.

No. ‘Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan has indicated that having an edge is part of the market, and has suggested that insider transactions are "sort of an inevitability".’

People around Trump bet on polymarket and won $1.2 million we’d bomb Iran bet was made day before